Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

AviChina Industry & Technology Company Limited (2357.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.64 - $102.67$62.62
Multi-Stage$12.42 - $13.58$12.99
Blended Fair Value$37.80
Current Price$4.04
Upside835.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS68.51%36.98%0.320.120.130.210.100.020.020.010.010.01
YoY Growth--159.77%-8.84%-35.36%107.37%328.06%4.68%50.00%8.98%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.78%4.04%4.34%4.74%2.21%0.75%0.52%0.42%0.29%0.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,122.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,086.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,036.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)824.40515.25309.15
Cash Retained (M)2,036.012,036.012,036.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-824.40-515.25-309.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,211.611,520.761,726.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,984.437,984.437,984.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.190.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.190.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.450.48
WACC / Discount Rate7.27%7.27%7.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$24.64$62.62$102.67
Upside / Downside509.92%1,449.96%2,441.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,122.014,389.944,675.294,979.185,302.835,647.515,816.94
Payout Ratio50.61%58.49%66.36%74.24%82.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,086.002,567.463,102.703,696.674,354.755,082.765,380.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.27%7.27%7.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,371.022,393.492,415.97
Year 2 PV (M)2,646.082,696.482,747.35
Year 3 PV (M)2,911.422,995.003,080.16
Year 4 PV (M)3,167.303,289.113,414.39
Year 5 PV (M)3,413.953,578.853,750.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)84,672.1788,761.8793,008.09
Equity Value (M)99,181.94103,714.79108,416.02
Shares Outstanding (M)7,984.437,984.437,984.43
Fair Value$12.42$12.99$13.58
Upside / Downside207.47%221.53%236.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 16 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
HWBKHawthorn Bancshares, Inc.2.27%$0.7724.18%
UTMDUtah Medical Products, Inc.2.27%$1.2835.35%
DKSDICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.2.26%$4.5238.61%
EMLThe Eastern Company2.26%$0.4437.05%
SBCFSeacoast Banking Corporation of Florida2.26%$0.7143.09%
WMKWeis Markets, Inc.2.26%$1.4535.88%
0JYA.LMarathon Petroleum Corporation2.25%$3.7274.60%
FSBCFive Star Bancorp2.25%$0.8029.79%
IBMInternational Business Machines Corporation2.25%$6.5678.75%
0KYZ.LSBA Communications Corporation2.24%$4.3254.40%
BPOPPopular, Inc.2.24%$2.8224.06%
MFINMedallion Financial Corp.2.24%$0.2312.50%
MSMorgan Stanley2.24%$4.0740.12%
FXNCFirst National Corporation2.23%$0.5586.28%
BACBank of America Corporation2.22%$1.2431.97%
SSBSouthState Corporation2.22%$2.0930.58%
VLGEAVillage Super Market, Inc.2.22%$0.7720.42%
WWWWolverine World Wide, Inc.2.22%$0.4137.79%
CCBGCapital City Bank Group, Inc.2.21%$0.9326.22%
CGThe Carlyle Group Inc.2.20%$1.3476.25%
NHINational Health Investors, Inc.2.20%$1.6954.58%
VNOVornado Realty Trust2.20%$0.7315.58%
BANCBanc of California, Inc.2.19%$0.4332.44%
EBTCEnterprise Bancorp, Inc.2.19%$0.8726.66%
RHPRyman Hospitality Properties, Inc.2.19%$2.0957.31%
CDPCOPT Defense Properties2.18%$0.6045.15%
FDSFactSet Research Systems Inc.2.18%$6.2039.64%
ISBAIsabella Bank Corporation2.18%$1.1044.52%
WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.2.18%$1.6437.28%
EFSCEnterprise Financial Services Corp2.17%$1.1722.34%
ETHGrayscale Ethereum Mini Trust2.17%$0.6434.57%
SEMSelect Medical Holdings Corporation2.17%$0.3236.19%
BFSTBusiness First Bancshares, Inc.2.16%$0.5620.21%
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares2.16%$0.4826.89%
EHTHeHealth, Inc.2.16%$0.095.60%
TPLTexas Pacific Land Corporation2.16%$6.4231.02%
CBSHCommerce Bancshares, Inc.2.15%$1.1226.40%
COLMColumbia Sportswear Company2.15%$1.2035.55%
HTHHilltop Holdings Inc.2.15%$0.7328.46%
NATHNathan's Famous, Inc.2.15%$1.9835.76%
RCKYRocky Brands, Inc.2.15%$0.6222.50%
BDXBecton, Dickinson and Company2.14%$4.1771.28%
CICigna Corporation2.14%$5.9626.01%
FBIZFirst Business Financial Services, Inc.2.14%$1.1518.19%
JBSSJohn B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.2.14%$1.4926.50%
JNPRJuniper Networks, Inc.2.14%$0.8682.37%
POOLPool Corporation2.14%$4.9244.68%
CSCOCisco Systems, Inc.2.13%$1.6262.56%
CSTRCapStar Financial Holdings, Inc.2.13%$0.4330.48%
HTLFHeartland Financial USA, Inc.2.13%$1.3869.73%