Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $13,429.90 - $23,263.46 | $17,652.64 |
| Multi-Stage | $22,117.27 - $24,331.84 | $23,203.16 |
| Blended Fair Value | $20,427.90 | |
| Current Price | $3,145.00 | |
| Upside | 549.54% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 13.22% | 2.47% | 193.40 | 68.69 | 128.20 | 31.18 | 31.18 | 103.95 | 145.53 | 99.01 | 187.11 | 205.91 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 181.57% | -46.42% | 311.10% | 0.00% | -70.00% | -28.57% | 46.99% | -47.09% | -9.13% | 35.89% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 7.60% | 2.42% | 5.34% | 0.99% | 0.97% | 7.48% | 3.64% | 1.60% | 3.10% | 3.07% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 756,722.72 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 46,515.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 710,207.72 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 151,344.54 | 94,590.34 | 56,754.20 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 710,207.72 | 710,207.72 | 710,207.72 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -151,344.54 | -94,590.34 | -56,754.20 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 558,863.17 | 615,617.38 | 653,453.51 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 722.84 | 722.84 | 722.84 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 773.15 | 851.67 | 904.01 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 64.35 | 64.35 | 64.35 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 773.15 | 851.67 | 904.01 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 837.50 | 916.02 | 968.36 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.74% | 6.74% | 6.74% |
| Growth Rate | 0.47% | 1.47% | 2.47% |
| Fair Value | $13,429.90 | $17,652.64 | $23,263.46 |
| Upside / Downside | 327.02% | 461.29% | 639.70% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 756,722.72 | 767,846.63 | 779,134.06 | 790,587.41 | 802,209.14 | 814,001.70 | 838,421.75 |
| Payout Ratio | 6.15% | 22.92% | 39.69% | 56.46% | 73.23% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 46,515.00 | 175,971.41 | 309,223.82 | 446,355.86 | 587,452.78 | 732,601.53 | 775,540.12 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.74% | 6.74% | 6.74% |
| Growth Rate | 0.47% | 1.47% | 2.47% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 163,242.17 | 164,866.96 | 166,491.74 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 266,105.24 | 271,428.81 | 276,805.11 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 356,329.65 | 367,075.79 | 378,035.83 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 435,044.76 | 452,625.45 | 470,733.68 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 503,290.86 | 528,841.26 | 555,418.97 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 14,263,230.29 | 14,987,326.98 | 15,740,537.53 |
| Equity Value (M) | 15,987,242.97 | 16,772,165.24 | 17,588,022.86 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 722.84 | 722.84 | 722.84 |
| Fair Value | $22,117.27 | $23,203.16 | $24,331.84 |
| Upside / Downside | 603.25% | 637.78% | 673.67% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HWBK | Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. | 2.27% | $0.77 | 24.18% |
| UTMD | Utah Medical Products, Inc. | 2.27% | $1.28 | 35.35% |
| DKS | DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. | 2.26% | $4.52 | 38.61% |
| EML | The Eastern Company | 2.26% | $0.44 | 37.05% |
| SBCF | Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida | 2.26% | $0.71 | 43.09% |
| WMK | Weis Markets, Inc. | 2.26% | $1.45 | 35.88% |
| 0JYA.L | Marathon Petroleum Corporation | 2.25% | $3.72 | 74.60% |
| FSBC | Five Star Bancorp | 2.25% | $0.80 | 29.79% |
| IBM | International Business Machines Corporation | 2.25% | $6.56 | 78.75% |
| 0KYZ.L | SBA Communications Corporation | 2.24% | $4.32 | 54.40% |
| BPOP | Popular, Inc. | 2.24% | $2.82 | 24.06% |
| MFIN | Medallion Financial Corp. | 2.24% | $0.23 | 12.50% |
| MS | Morgan Stanley | 2.24% | $4.07 | 40.12% |
| FXNC | First National Corporation | 2.23% | $0.55 | 86.28% |
| BAC | Bank of America Corporation | 2.22% | $1.24 | 31.97% |
| SSB | SouthState Corporation | 2.22% | $2.09 | 30.58% |
| VLGEA | Village Super Market, Inc. | 2.22% | $0.77 | 20.42% |
| WWW | Wolverine World Wide, Inc. | 2.22% | $0.41 | 37.79% |
| CCBG | Capital City Bank Group, Inc. | 2.21% | $0.93 | 26.22% |
| CG | The Carlyle Group Inc. | 2.20% | $1.34 | 76.25% |
| NHI | National Health Investors, Inc. | 2.20% | $1.69 | 54.58% |
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | 2.20% | $0.73 | 15.58% |
| BANC | Banc of California, Inc. | 2.19% | $0.43 | 32.44% |
| EBTC | Enterprise Bancorp, Inc. | 2.19% | $0.87 | 26.66% |
| RHP | Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | 2.19% | $2.09 | 57.31% |
| CDP | COPT Defense Properties | 2.18% | $0.60 | 45.15% |
| FDS | FactSet Research Systems Inc. | 2.18% | $6.20 | 39.64% |
| ISBA | Isabella Bank Corporation | 2.18% | $1.10 | 44.52% |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 2.18% | $1.64 | 37.28% |
| EFSC | Enterprise Financial Services Corp | 2.17% | $1.17 | 22.34% |
| ETH | Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust | 2.17% | $0.64 | 34.57% |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings Corporation | 2.17% | $0.32 | 36.19% |
| BFST | Business First Bancshares, Inc. | 2.16% | $0.56 | 20.21% |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | 2.16% | $0.48 | 26.89% |
| EHTH | eHealth, Inc. | 2.16% | $0.09 | 5.60% |
| TPL | Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 2.16% | $6.42 | 31.02% |
| CBSH | Commerce Bancshares, Inc. | 2.15% | $1.12 | 26.40% |
| COLM | Columbia Sportswear Company | 2.15% | $1.20 | 35.55% |
| HTH | Hilltop Holdings Inc. | 2.15% | $0.73 | 28.46% |
| NATH | Nathan's Famous, Inc. | 2.15% | $1.98 | 35.76% |
| RCKY | Rocky Brands, Inc. | 2.15% | $0.62 | 22.50% |
| BDX | Becton, Dickinson and Company | 2.14% | $4.17 | 71.28% |
| CI | Cigna Corporation | 2.14% | $5.96 | 26.01% |
| FBIZ | First Business Financial Services, Inc. | 2.14% | $1.15 | 18.19% |
| JBSS | John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. | 2.14% | $1.49 | 26.50% |
| JNPR | Juniper Networks, Inc. | 2.14% | $0.86 | 82.37% |
| POOL | Pool Corporation | 2.14% | $4.92 | 44.68% |
| CSCO | Cisco Systems, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.62 | 62.56% |
| CSTR | CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. | 2.13% | $0.43 | 30.48% |
| HTLF | Heartland Financial USA, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.38 | 69.73% |