DDM Analysis: JPFA.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$29,966.95 - $57,030.03	$53,445.49
Multi-Stage	$8,980.57 - $9,827.66	$9,396.34
Blended Fair Value	$31,420.92
Current Price	$1,960.00
Upside	1,503.11%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.11%	22.64%	70.43	49.97	62.35	42.05	22.22	54.89	99.41	46.09	20.61	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	40.95%	-19.86%	48.29%	89.22%	-59.52%	-44.78%	115.70%	123.66%	0.00%	-100.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.50%	4.22%	5.54%	2.55%	1.16%	5.78%	5.63%	3.11%	1.33%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,334,388.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,632,874.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,701,514.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	666,877.60	416,798.50	250,079.10
Cash Retained (M)	1,701,514.00	1,701,514.00	1,701,514.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-666,877.60	-416,798.50	-250,079.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,034,636.40	1,284,715.50	1,451,434.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	11,627.67	11,627.67	11,627.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share	88.98	110.49	124.83
LTM Dividend per Share	140.43	140.43	140.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share	88.98	110.49	124.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend	229.41	250.92	265.26
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$29,966.95	$53,445.49	$57,030.03
Upside / Downside	1,428.93%	2,626.81%	2,809.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,334,388.00	3,551,123.22	3,781,946.23	4,027,772.73	4,289,577.96	4,568,400.53	4,705,452.55
Payout Ratio	48.97%	57.18%	65.38%	73.59%	81.79%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,632,874.00	2,030,410.83	2,472,728.55	2,963,969.09	3,508,623.62	4,111,560.48	4,352,543.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,892,004.88	1,909,938.58	1,927,872.28
Year 2 PV (M)	2,147,104.14	2,188,000.44	2,229,282.56
Year 3 PV (M)	2,398,218.06	2,467,062.28	2,537,211.56
Year 4 PV (M)	2,645,392.47	2,747,126.80	2,851,767.61
Year 5 PV (M)	2,888,672.76	3,028,196.73	3,173,060.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)	92,451,764.16	96,917,218.93	101,553,577.18
Equity Value (M)	104,423,156.46	109,257,543.77	114,272,771.80
Shares Outstanding (M)	11,627.67	11,627.67	11,627.67
Fair Value	$8,980.57	$9,396.34	$9,827.66
Upside / Downside	358.19%	379.41%	401.41%

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PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk (JPFA.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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