Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $8,148.93 - $18,114.68 | $11,762.10 |
| Multi-Stage | $8,895.82 - $9,752.24 | $9,316.00 |
| Blended Fair Value | $10,539.05 | |
| Current Price | $2,515.50 | |
| Upside | 318.96% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -6.55% | 4.66% | 107.20 | 88.88 | 68.97 | 58.52 | 58.54 | 150.45 | 150.46 | 150.38 | 151.90 | 115.78 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 20.61% | 28.87% | 17.85% | -0.03% | -61.09% | -0.01% | 0.05% | -1.00% | 31.20% | 70.26% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 4.26% | 2.62% | 2.55% | 2.43% | 2.67% | 6.71% | 5.50% | 4.66% | 4.01% | 3.33% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 308,904.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 83,915.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 224,989.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 61,780.80 | 38,613.00 | 23,167.80 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 224,989.00 | 224,989.00 | 224,989.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -61,780.80 | -38,613.00 | -23,167.80 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 163,208.20 | 186,376.00 | 201,821.20 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 733.63 | 733.63 | 733.63 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 222.47 | 254.05 | 275.10 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 114.38 | 114.38 | 114.38 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 222.47 | 254.05 | 275.10 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 336.85 | 368.43 | 389.48 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.25% | 7.25% | 7.25% |
| Growth Rate | 3.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% |
| Fair Value | $8,148.93 | $11,762.10 | $18,114.68 |
| Upside / Downside | 223.95% | 367.59% | 620.12% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 308,904.00 | 321,245.95 | 334,081.00 | 347,428.87 | 361,310.04 | 375,745.81 | 387,018.18 |
| Payout Ratio | 27.17% | 39.73% | 52.30% | 64.87% | 77.43% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 83,915.00 | 127,638.46 | 174,721.82 | 225,363.76 | 279,773.49 | 338,171.23 | 357,991.82 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.25% | 7.25% | 7.25% |
| Growth Rate | 3.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 117,862.64 | 119,006.99 | 120,151.34 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 148,982.88 | 151,889.92 | 154,825.06 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 177,446.69 | 182,665.62 | 187,985.88 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 203,415.94 | 211,431.75 | 219,682.15 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 227,043.83 | 238,281.98 | 249,960.81 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 5,651,448.91 | 5,931,182.83 | 6,221,885.65 |
| Equity Value (M) | 6,526,200.89 | 6,834,459.09 | 7,154,490.89 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 733.63 | 733.63 | 733.63 |
| Fair Value | $8,895.82 | $9,316.00 | $9,752.24 |
| Upside / Downside | 253.64% | 270.34% | 287.69% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HWBK | Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. | 2.27% | $0.77 | 24.18% |
| UTMD | Utah Medical Products, Inc. | 2.27% | $1.28 | 35.35% |
| DKS | DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. | 2.26% | $4.52 | 38.61% |
| EML | The Eastern Company | 2.26% | $0.44 | 37.05% |
| SBCF | Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida | 2.26% | $0.71 | 43.09% |
| WMK | Weis Markets, Inc. | 2.26% | $1.45 | 35.88% |
| 0JYA.L | Marathon Petroleum Corporation | 2.25% | $3.72 | 74.60% |
| FSBC | Five Star Bancorp | 2.25% | $0.80 | 29.79% |
| IBM | International Business Machines Corporation | 2.25% | $6.56 | 78.75% |
| 0KYZ.L | SBA Communications Corporation | 2.24% | $4.32 | 54.40% |
| BPOP | Popular, Inc. | 2.24% | $2.82 | 24.06% |
| MFIN | Medallion Financial Corp. | 2.24% | $0.23 | 12.50% |
| MS | Morgan Stanley | 2.24% | $4.07 | 40.12% |
| FXNC | First National Corporation | 2.23% | $0.55 | 86.28% |
| BAC | Bank of America Corporation | 2.22% | $1.24 | 31.97% |
| SSB | SouthState Corporation | 2.22% | $2.09 | 30.58% |
| VLGEA | Village Super Market, Inc. | 2.22% | $0.77 | 20.42% |
| WWW | Wolverine World Wide, Inc. | 2.22% | $0.41 | 37.79% |
| CCBG | Capital City Bank Group, Inc. | 2.21% | $0.93 | 26.22% |
| CG | The Carlyle Group Inc. | 2.20% | $1.34 | 76.25% |
| NHI | National Health Investors, Inc. | 2.20% | $1.69 | 54.58% |
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | 2.20% | $0.73 | 15.58% |
| BANC | Banc of California, Inc. | 2.19% | $0.43 | 32.44% |
| EBTC | Enterprise Bancorp, Inc. | 2.19% | $0.87 | 26.66% |
| RHP | Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | 2.19% | $2.09 | 57.31% |
| CDP | COPT Defense Properties | 2.18% | $0.60 | 45.15% |
| FDS | FactSet Research Systems Inc. | 2.18% | $6.20 | 39.64% |
| ISBA | Isabella Bank Corporation | 2.18% | $1.10 | 44.52% |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 2.18% | $1.64 | 37.28% |
| EFSC | Enterprise Financial Services Corp | 2.17% | $1.17 | 22.34% |
| ETH | Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust | 2.17% | $0.64 | 34.57% |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings Corporation | 2.17% | $0.32 | 36.19% |
| BFST | Business First Bancshares, Inc. | 2.16% | $0.56 | 20.21% |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | 2.16% | $0.48 | 26.89% |
| EHTH | eHealth, Inc. | 2.16% | $0.09 | 5.60% |
| TPL | Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 2.16% | $6.42 | 31.02% |
| CBSH | Commerce Bancshares, Inc. | 2.15% | $1.12 | 26.40% |
| COLM | Columbia Sportswear Company | 2.15% | $1.20 | 35.55% |
| HTH | Hilltop Holdings Inc. | 2.15% | $0.73 | 28.46% |
| NATH | Nathan's Famous, Inc. | 2.15% | $1.98 | 35.76% |
| RCKY | Rocky Brands, Inc. | 2.15% | $0.62 | 22.50% |
| BDX | Becton, Dickinson and Company | 2.14% | $4.17 | 71.28% |
| CI | Cigna Corporation | 2.14% | $5.96 | 26.01% |
| FBIZ | First Business Financial Services, Inc. | 2.14% | $1.15 | 18.19% |
| JBSS | John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. | 2.14% | $1.49 | 26.50% |
| JNPR | Juniper Networks, Inc. | 2.14% | $0.86 | 82.37% |
| POOL | Pool Corporation | 2.14% | $4.92 | 44.68% |
| CSCO | Cisco Systems, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.62 | 62.56% |
| CSTR | CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. | 2.13% | $0.43 | 30.48% |
| HTLF | Heartland Financial USA, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.38 | 69.73% |