Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (0QYY.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - Recreational VehiclesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.95 - $30.24$26.13
Multi-Stage$39.55 - $43.58$41.52
Blended Fair Value$33.83
Current Price$27.90
Upside21.24%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-17.40%-9.16%0.740.780.750.750.551.911.982.032.032.01
YoY Growth---5.28%3.36%0.82%35.75%-71.30%-3.49%-2.40%-0.18%1.23%4.60%
Dividend Yield--2.91%1.78%1.98%1.91%1.50%10.67%5.36%4.83%3.38%4.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)501.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)88.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)413.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)100.2362.6437.59
Cash Retained (M)413.09413.09413.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-100.23-62.64-37.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)312.86350.45375.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)124.03124.03124.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.522.833.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.710.710.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.522.833.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.233.543.74
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-4.90%-3.90%-2.90%
Fair Value$21.95$26.13$30.24
Upside / Downside-21.31%-6.34%8.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)501.15481.58462.79444.72427.36410.68423.00
Payout Ratio17.57%32.06%46.54%61.03%75.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)88.06154.38215.39271.41322.72369.61391.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-4.90%-3.90%-2.90%
Year 1 PV (M)140.03141.51142.98
Year 2 PV (M)177.22180.97184.75
Year 3 PV (M)202.55209.01215.60
Year 4 PV (M)218.47227.80237.43
Year 5 PV (M)226.96239.14251.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,939.984,151.544,372.10
Equity Value (M)4,905.225,149.985,404.72
Shares Outstanding (M)124.03124.03124.03
Fair Value$39.55$41.52$43.58
Upside / Downside41.75%48.82%56.19%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 16 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
HWBKHawthorn Bancshares, Inc.2.27%$0.7724.18%
UTMDUtah Medical Products, Inc.2.27%$1.2835.35%
DKSDICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.2.26%$4.5238.61%
EMLThe Eastern Company2.26%$0.4437.05%
SBCFSeacoast Banking Corporation of Florida2.26%$0.7143.09%
WMKWeis Markets, Inc.2.26%$1.4535.88%
0JYA.LMarathon Petroleum Corporation2.25%$3.7274.60%
FSBCFive Star Bancorp2.25%$0.8029.79%
IBMInternational Business Machines Corporation2.25%$6.5678.75%
0KYZ.LSBA Communications Corporation2.24%$4.3254.40%
BPOPPopular, Inc.2.24%$2.8224.06%
MFINMedallion Financial Corp.2.24%$0.2312.50%
MSMorgan Stanley2.24%$4.0740.12%
FXNCFirst National Corporation2.23%$0.5586.28%
BACBank of America Corporation2.22%$1.2431.97%
SSBSouthState Corporation2.22%$2.0930.58%
VLGEAVillage Super Market, Inc.2.22%$0.7720.42%
WWWWolverine World Wide, Inc.2.22%$0.4137.79%
CCBGCapital City Bank Group, Inc.2.21%$0.9326.22%
CGThe Carlyle Group Inc.2.20%$1.3476.25%
NHINational Health Investors, Inc.2.20%$1.6954.58%
VNOVornado Realty Trust2.20%$0.7315.58%
BANCBanc of California, Inc.2.19%$0.4332.44%
EBTCEnterprise Bancorp, Inc.2.19%$0.8726.66%
RHPRyman Hospitality Properties, Inc.2.19%$2.0957.31%
CDPCOPT Defense Properties2.18%$0.6045.15%
FDSFactSet Research Systems Inc.2.18%$6.2039.64%
ISBAIsabella Bank Corporation2.18%$1.1044.52%
WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.2.18%$1.6437.28%
EFSCEnterprise Financial Services Corp2.17%$1.1722.34%
ETHGrayscale Ethereum Mini Trust2.17%$0.6434.57%
SEMSelect Medical Holdings Corporation2.17%$0.3236.19%
BFSTBusiness First Bancshares, Inc.2.16%$0.5620.21%
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares2.16%$0.4826.89%
EHTHeHealth, Inc.2.16%$0.095.60%
TPLTexas Pacific Land Corporation2.16%$6.4231.02%
CBSHCommerce Bancshares, Inc.2.15%$1.1226.40%
COLMColumbia Sportswear Company2.15%$1.2035.55%
HTHHilltop Holdings Inc.2.15%$0.7328.46%
NATHNathan's Famous, Inc.2.15%$1.9835.76%
RCKYRocky Brands, Inc.2.15%$0.6222.50%
BDXBecton, Dickinson and Company2.14%$4.1771.28%
CICigna Corporation2.14%$5.9626.01%
FBIZFirst Business Financial Services, Inc.2.14%$1.1518.19%
JBSSJohn B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.2.14%$1.4926.50%
JNPRJuniper Networks, Inc.2.14%$0.8682.37%
POOLPool Corporation2.14%$4.9244.68%
CSCOCisco Systems, Inc.2.13%$1.6262.56%
CSTRCapStar Financial Holdings, Inc.2.13%$0.4330.48%
HTLFHeartland Financial USA, Inc.2.13%$1.3869.73%