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Etablissements Maurel & Prom S.A. (0F6L.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas EnergySector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$117.02 - $491.85$294.03
Multi-Stage$57.97 - $63.43$60.65
Blended Fair Value$177.34
Current Price$5.69
Upside3,016.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS49.03%0.00%0.320.250.150.000.000.040.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--31.11%69.06%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.51%3.68%3.41%0.00%0.00%1.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)493.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)113.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)379.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)98.7261.7037.02
Cash Retained (M)379.60379.60379.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-98.72-61.70-37.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)280.88317.90342.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)199.58199.58199.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.411.591.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.570.570.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.411.591.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.982.162.29
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$117.02$294.03$491.85
Upside / Downside1,956.50%5,067.49%8,544.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)493.58525.67559.83596.22634.98676.25696.54
Payout Ratio23.09%36.47%49.86%63.24%76.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)113.98191.73279.11377.04486.51608.63644.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)177.04178.72180.39
Year 2 PV (M)237.97242.50247.07
Year 3 PV (M)296.82305.34314.02
Year 4 PV (M)353.65367.25381.23
Year 5 PV (M)408.50428.23448.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,094.8310,582.4211,088.66
Equity Value (M)11,568.8012,104.4512,660.10
Shares Outstanding (M)199.58199.58199.58
Fair Value$57.97$60.65$63.43
Upside / Downside918.75%965.92%1,014.85%

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