Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $1,837,741.67 - $9,257,244.79 | $3,813,080.85 |
| Multi-Stage | $1,163,794.49 - $1,273,624.49 | $1,217,698.63 |
| Blended Fair Value | $2,515,389.74 | |
| Current Price | $451,500.00 | |
| Upside | 457.12% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 6.86% | 18.63% | 16,021.99 | 13,826.78 | 12,022.50 | 8,800.22 | 8,500.22 | 11,500.18 | 10,000.20 | 6,117.67 | 5,228.69 | 4,695.94 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 15.88% | 15.01% | 36.62% | 3.53% | -26.09% | 15.00% | 63.46% | 17.00% | 11.35% | 61.80% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 4.48% | 4.53% | 5.84% | 4.02% | 4.47% | 7.47% | 3.24% | 2.26% | 1.95% | 1.59% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 1,990,667.81 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 809,299.28 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,181,368.53 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 398,133.56 | 248,833.48 | 149,300.09 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,181,368.53 | 1,181,368.53 | 1,181,368.53 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -398,133.56 | -248,833.48 | -149,300.09 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 783,234.97 | 932,535.06 | 1,032,068.45 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 42.51 | 42.51 | 42.51 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 18,424.72 | 21,936.84 | 24,278.25 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 19,037.86 | 19,037.86 | 19,037.86 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 18,424.72 | 21,936.84 | 24,278.25 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 37,462.58 | 40,974.70 | 43,316.11 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.99% | 6.99% | 6.99% |
| Growth Rate | 4.86% | 5.86% | 6.86% |
| Fair Value | $1,837,741.67 | $3,813,080.85 | $9,257,244.79 |
| Upside / Downside | 307.03% | 744.54% | 1,950.33% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 1,990,667.81 | 2,107,258.06 | 2,230,676.81 | 2,361,324.00 | 2,499,622.99 | 2,646,021.93 | 2,725,402.58 |
| Payout Ratio | 40.65% | 50.52% | 60.39% | 70.26% | 80.13% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 809,299.28 | 1,064,665.37 | 1,347,168.13 | 1,659,110.28 | 2,002,971.21 | 2,381,419.73 | 2,520,997.39 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.99% | 6.99% | 6.99% |
| Growth Rate | 4.86% | 5.86% | 6.86% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 985,666.70 | 995,066.82 | 1,004,466.93 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 1,154,664.22 | 1,176,792.87 | 1,199,131.56 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 1,316,515.94 | 1,354,542.39 | 1,393,294.12 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 1,471,439.90 | 1,528,379.37 | 1,586,955.59 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 1,619,648.32 | 1,698,366.93 | 1,780,116.94 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 42,924,968.72 | 45,011,220.24 | 47,177,811.86 |
| Equity Value (M) | 49,472,903.80 | 51,764,368.63 | 54,141,777.00 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 42.51 | 42.51 | 42.51 |
| Fair Value | $1,163,794.49 | $1,217,698.63 | $1,273,624.49 |
| Upside / Downside | 157.76% | 169.70% | 182.09% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HWBK | Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. | 2.27% | $0.77 | 24.18% |
| UTMD | Utah Medical Products, Inc. | 2.27% | $1.28 | 35.35% |
| DKS | DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. | 2.26% | $4.52 | 38.61% |
| EML | The Eastern Company | 2.26% | $0.44 | 37.05% |
| SBCF | Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida | 2.26% | $0.71 | 43.09% |
| WMK | Weis Markets, Inc. | 2.26% | $1.45 | 35.88% |
| 0JYA.L | Marathon Petroleum Corporation | 2.25% | $3.72 | 74.60% |
| FSBC | Five Star Bancorp | 2.25% | $0.80 | 29.79% |
| IBM | International Business Machines Corporation | 2.25% | $6.56 | 78.75% |
| 0KYZ.L | SBA Communications Corporation | 2.24% | $4.32 | 54.40% |
| BPOP | Popular, Inc. | 2.24% | $2.82 | 24.06% |
| MFIN | Medallion Financial Corp. | 2.24% | $0.23 | 12.50% |
| MS | Morgan Stanley | 2.24% | $4.07 | 40.12% |
| FXNC | First National Corporation | 2.23% | $0.55 | 86.28% |
| BAC | Bank of America Corporation | 2.22% | $1.24 | 31.97% |
| SSB | SouthState Corporation | 2.22% | $2.09 | 30.58% |
| VLGEA | Village Super Market, Inc. | 2.22% | $0.77 | 20.42% |
| WWW | Wolverine World Wide, Inc. | 2.22% | $0.41 | 37.79% |
| CCBG | Capital City Bank Group, Inc. | 2.21% | $0.93 | 26.22% |
| CG | The Carlyle Group Inc. | 2.20% | $1.34 | 76.25% |
| NHI | National Health Investors, Inc. | 2.20% | $1.69 | 54.58% |
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | 2.20% | $0.73 | 15.58% |
| BANC | Banc of California, Inc. | 2.19% | $0.43 | 32.44% |
| EBTC | Enterprise Bancorp, Inc. | 2.19% | $0.87 | 26.66% |
| RHP | Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | 2.19% | $2.09 | 57.31% |
| CDP | COPT Defense Properties | 2.18% | $0.60 | 45.15% |
| FDS | FactSet Research Systems Inc. | 2.18% | $6.20 | 39.64% |
| ISBA | Isabella Bank Corporation | 2.18% | $1.10 | 44.52% |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 2.18% | $1.64 | 37.28% |
| EFSC | Enterprise Financial Services Corp | 2.17% | $1.17 | 22.34% |
| ETH | Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust | 2.17% | $0.64 | 34.57% |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings Corporation | 2.17% | $0.32 | 36.19% |
| BFST | Business First Bancshares, Inc. | 2.16% | $0.56 | 20.21% |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | 2.16% | $0.48 | 26.89% |
| EHTH | eHealth, Inc. | 2.16% | $0.09 | 5.60% |
| TPL | Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 2.16% | $6.42 | 31.02% |
| CBSH | Commerce Bancshares, Inc. | 2.15% | $1.12 | 26.40% |
| COLM | Columbia Sportswear Company | 2.15% | $1.20 | 35.55% |
| HTH | Hilltop Holdings Inc. | 2.15% | $0.73 | 28.46% |
| NATH | Nathan's Famous, Inc. | 2.15% | $1.98 | 35.76% |
| RCKY | Rocky Brands, Inc. | 2.15% | $0.62 | 22.50% |
| BDX | Becton, Dickinson and Company | 2.14% | $4.17 | 71.28% |
| CI | Cigna Corporation | 2.14% | $5.96 | 26.01% |
| FBIZ | First Business Financial Services, Inc. | 2.14% | $1.15 | 18.19% |
| JBSS | John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. | 2.14% | $1.49 | 26.50% |
| JNPR | Juniper Networks, Inc. | 2.14% | $0.86 | 82.37% |
| POOL | Pool Corporation | 2.14% | $4.92 | 44.68% |
| CSCO | Cisco Systems, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.62 | 62.56% |
| CSTR | CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. | 2.13% | $0.43 | 30.48% |
| HTLF | Heartland Financial USA, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.38 | 69.73% |