Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wilmington plc (WIL.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.82 - $6.27$4.91
Multi-Stage$4.34 - $4.73$4.53
Blended Fair Value$4.72
Current Price$3.40
Upside38.83%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS18.38%4.80%0.110.100.080.060.020.050.090.080.080.07
YoY Growth--11.21%22.66%35.87%200.27%-58.22%-43.78%3.63%5.09%5.43%6.47%
Dividend Yield--3.29%2.63%2.95%2.63%0.95%3.88%4.30%3.43%3.35%2.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)10.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.033.772.26
Cash Retained (M)10.8110.8110.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.03-3.77-2.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.787.048.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)90.9590.9590.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.290.31
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate2.80%3.80%4.80%
Fair Value$3.82$4.91$6.27
Upside / Downside12.46%44.47%84.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30.1431.2832.4733.7034.9936.3137.40
Payout Ratio64.14%69.32%74.49%79.66%84.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.3321.6824.1926.8529.6832.6834.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate2.80%3.80%4.80%
Year 1 PV (M)19.5419.7319.92
Year 2 PV (M)19.6320.0220.40
Year 3 PV (M)19.6320.2120.80
Year 4 PV (M)19.5520.3221.12
Year 5 PV (M)19.4020.3621.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)296.52311.22326.51
Equity Value (M)394.27411.86430.11
Shares Outstanding (M)90.9590.9590.95
Fair Value$4.34$4.53$4.73
Upside / Downside27.51%33.19%39.09%

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