Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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VRG S.A. (VRG.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.53 - $33.86$17.02
Multi-Stage$11.04 - $12.11$11.56
Blended Fair Value$14.29
Current Price$4.84
Upside195.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.090.200.170.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---55.00%17.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.46%6.38%5.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)94.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)73.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.8511.787.07
Cash Retained (M)73.1573.1573.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.85-11.78-7.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)54.3061.3766.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)234.13234.13234.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.230.260.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.230.260.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate3.18%4.18%5.18%
Fair Value$10.53$17.02$33.86
Upside / Downside117.48%251.55%599.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)94.2598.19102.29106.56111.01115.65119.12
Payout Ratio22.39%35.91%49.43%62.96%76.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.1035.2650.5667.0984.90104.09110.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate3.18%4.18%5.18%
Year 1 PV (M)32.8433.1633.48
Year 2 PV (M)43.8644.7245.58
Year 3 PV (M)54.2155.8057.42
Year 4 PV (M)63.8966.4168.99
Year 5 PV (M)72.9676.5680.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,315.982,430.412,549.32
Equity Value (M)2,583.742,707.062,835.10
Shares Outstanding (M)234.13234.13234.13
Fair Value$11.04$11.56$12.11
Upside / Downside128.00%138.88%150.18%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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