Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk (UNIC.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.85 - $1.51$1.13
Multi-Stage$0.85 - $0.92$0.88
Blended Fair Value$1.01
Current Price$0.49
Upside106.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.39%7.09%0.020.020.040.010.020.010.030.050.000.01
YoY Growth---25.41%-37.65%270.11%-38.01%157.32%-79.09%-44.05%44,321.11%-97.69%-39.69%
Dividend Yield--4.09%4.77%6.21%1.20%4.83%3.81%8.73%20.01%0.06%4.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.662.911.75
Cash Retained (M)6.136.136.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.66-2.91-1.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.473.224.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)383.33383.33383.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.050.050.06
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate4.01%5.01%6.01%
Fair Value$0.85$1.13$1.51
Upside / Downside74.88%132.18%210.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23.3024.4725.6926.9828.3329.7530.64
Payout Ratio73.69%76.95%80.21%83.47%86.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.1718.8320.6122.5224.5726.7828.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate4.01%5.01%6.01%
Year 1 PV (M)16.9617.1217.29
Year 2 PV (M)16.7217.0517.37
Year 3 PV (M)16.4616.9417.43
Year 4 PV (M)16.1816.8117.46
Year 5 PV (M)15.8816.6617.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)241.81253.66265.97
Equity Value (M)324.02338.25352.99
Shares Outstanding (M)383.33383.33383.33
Fair Value$0.85$0.88$0.92
Upside / Downside73.67%81.30%89.20%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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