Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ubiquiti Inc. (UI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$242.26 - $508.73$342.70
Multi-Stage$178.00 - $194.38$186.04
Blended Fair Value$264.37
Current Price$411.65
Upside-35.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS13.03%25.46%2.402.402.402.451.671.301.180.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.04%0.03%-2.03%46.86%28.13%10.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.58%1.08%1.65%0.83%0.56%0.78%1.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)791.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)157.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)634.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)158.3698.9859.39
Cash Retained (M)634.54634.54634.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-158.36-98.98-59.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)476.18535.57575.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)60.5460.5460.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.878.859.50
LTM Dividend per Share2.602.602.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.878.859.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.4611.4412.10
WACC / Discount Rate10.06%10.06%10.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$242.26$342.70$508.73
Upside / Downside-41.15%-16.75%23.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)791.81843.28898.09956.471,018.641,084.851,117.40
Payout Ratio19.86%33.89%47.92%61.94%75.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)157.27285.78430.34592.48773.88976.361,033.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.06%10.06%10.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)257.23259.67262.11
Year 2 PV (M)348.65355.29361.99
Year 3 PV (M)432.05444.46457.10
Year 4 PV (M)507.96527.49547.58
Year 5 PV (M)576.84604.70633.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,653.889,071.879,505.85
Equity Value (M)10,776.6111,263.4811,768.26
Shares Outstanding (M)60.5460.5460.54
Fair Value$178.00$186.04$194.38
Upside / Downside-56.76%-54.81%-52.78%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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