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Definitive Analysis

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Turpaz Industries Ltd (TRPZ.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.32 - $2.00$1.64
Multi-Stage$2.66 - $2.93$2.79
Blended Fair Value$2.22
Current Price$14.95
Upside-85.18%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.080.050.040.000.050.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--67.08%25.06%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.21%1.11%1.09%0.00%1.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.282.051.23
Cash Retained (M)12.0912.0912.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.28-2.05-1.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.8110.0410.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)107.50107.50107.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.14
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.32$1.64$2.00
Upside / Downside-91.18%-89.05%-86.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16.3816.2216.0615.9015.7415.5816.05
Payout Ratio26.21%38.97%51.73%64.49%77.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.306.328.3110.2512.1614.0214.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5.845.905.96
Year 2 PV (M)7.107.257.39
Year 3 PV (M)8.108.358.61
Year 4 PV (M)8.889.259.63
Year 5 PV (M)9.479.9710.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)246.77259.61272.99
Equity Value (M)286.17300.34315.07
Shares Outstanding (M)107.50107.50107.50
Fair Value$2.66$2.79$2.93
Upside / Downside-82.19%-81.31%-80.39%

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