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Definitive Analysis

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Trainers' House Oyj (TRH1V.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consulting ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.64 - $0.88$0.76
Multi-Stage$1.79 - $1.98$1.89
Blended Fair Value$1.32
Current Price$2.14
Upside-38.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-17.51%0.00%0.040.450.700.500.000.100.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---91.51%-35.73%39.99%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.83%18.91%13.16%5.42%0.00%2.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)0.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.050.030.02
Cash Retained (M)0.150.150.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.05-0.03-0.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.100.120.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.152.152.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate-7.16%-6.16%-5.16%
Fair Value$0.64$0.76$0.88
Upside / Downside-70.19%-64.48%-58.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)0.260.240.230.210.200.190.19
Payout Ratio41.72%51.38%61.03%70.69%80.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.110.120.140.150.160.170.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate-7.16%-6.16%-5.16%
Year 1 PV (M)0.110.120.12
Year 2 PV (M)0.120.120.12
Year 3 PV (M)0.120.120.13
Year 4 PV (M)0.120.120.13
Year 5 PV (M)0.120.120.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)3.283.463.65
Equity Value (M)3.864.064.27
Shares Outstanding (M)2.152.152.15
Fair Value$1.79$1.89$1.98
Upside / Downside-16.19%-11.86%-7.34%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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