Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Toromont Industries Ltd. (TIH.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$498.66 - $1,177.26$1,103.27
Multi-Stage$172.88 - $189.25$180.92
Blended Fair Value$642.09
Current Price$122.39
Upside424.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.61%13.14%1.871.691.521.331.201.030.870.720.680.62
YoY Growth--10.82%10.67%14.82%10.68%16.21%18.70%21.37%6.20%8.22%14.67%
Dividend Yield--1.66%1.29%1.37%1.12%1.25%1.68%1.24%1.30%1.45%1.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)486.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)160.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)326.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)97.2160.7536.45
Cash Retained (M)326.02326.02326.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-97.21-60.75-36.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)228.81265.26289.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)82.1182.1182.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.793.233.53
LTM Dividend per Share1.951.951.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.793.233.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.745.185.48
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$498.66$1,103.27$1,177.26
Upside / Downside307.43%801.44%861.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)486.03517.62551.27587.10625.26665.90685.88
Payout Ratio32.92%44.34%55.75%67.17%78.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)160.01229.50307.35394.35491.36599.31634.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)213.47215.49217.52
Year 2 PV (M)265.90270.97276.08
Year 3 PV (M)317.33326.44335.73
Year 4 PV (M)367.77381.92396.46
Year 5 PV (M)417.24437.39458.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,612.8013,222.0013,854.52
Equity Value (M)14,194.5214,854.2115,538.62
Shares Outstanding (M)82.1182.1182.11
Fair Value$172.88$180.92$189.25
Upside / Downside41.26%47.82%54.63%

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