Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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TF Bank AB (publ) (TFBANK.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$614.68 - $2,223.20$1,947.42
Multi-Stage$278.03 - $304.39$290.97
Blended Fair Value$1,119.20
Current Price$181.00
Upside518.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.04%42.26%0.450.000.330.330.110.770.750.730.150.28
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%209.35%-85.95%2.22%2.27%388.89%-46.56%2,010.14%
Dividend Yield--0.40%0.00%0.75%0.55%0.27%3.36%2.49%2.72%0.47%0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)722.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)127.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)594.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)144.4390.2754.16
Cash Retained (M)594.73594.73594.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-144.43-90.27-54.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)450.30504.46540.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)64.6064.6064.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.977.818.37
LTM Dividend per Share1.971.971.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.977.818.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.949.7810.34
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$614.68$1,947.42$2,223.20
Upside / Downside239.60%975.92%1,128.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)722.15769.09819.08872.32929.03989.411,019.09
Payout Ratio17.64%32.12%46.59%61.06%75.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)127.42247.00381.58532.62701.68890.47942.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)228.60230.76232.93
Year 2 PV (M)326.85333.07339.36
Year 3 PV (M)422.23434.35446.70
Year 4 PV (M)514.81534.61554.98
Year 5 PV (M)604.65633.86664.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,863.7916,630.0217,425.57
Equity Value (M)17,960.9318,796.6719,663.71
Shares Outstanding (M)64.6064.6064.60
Fair Value$278.03$290.97$304.39
Upside / Downside53.61%60.76%68.17%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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