Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Treatt plc (TET.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.04 - $15.17$10.05
Multi-Stage$5.29 - $5.77$5.53
Blended Fair Value$7.79
Current Price$3.40
Upside129.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.84%10.00%0.080.080.080.060.060.050.050.050.030.03
YoY Growth--2.54%-0.66%30.51%9.65%9.68%7.09%-4.93%44.39%5.92%4.16%
Dividend Yield--1.79%1.55%1.34%0.60%0.91%1.24%0.97%1.07%1.63%1.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.512.821.69
Cash Retained (M)12.5412.5412.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.51-2.82-1.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.039.7210.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)61.2761.2761.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.160.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.160.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.320.34
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7.04$10.05$15.17
Upside / Downside107.15%195.69%346.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.5724.0425.6027.2729.0430.9331.86
Payout Ratio44.44%53.55%62.66%71.77%80.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.0312.8716.0419.5723.4927.8429.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)11.6011.7111.82
Year 2 PV (M)13.0313.2813.53
Year 3 PV (M)14.3314.7415.16
Year 4 PV (M)15.5016.0916.71
Year 5 PV (M)16.5517.3518.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)253.38265.62278.32
Equity Value (M)324.39338.79353.72
Shares Outstanding (M)61.2761.2761.27
Fair Value$5.29$5.53$5.77
Upside / Downside55.72%62.63%69.80%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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