Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Tembaga Mulia Semanan Tbk (TBMS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.12 - $0.18$0.15
Multi-Stage$0.14 - $0.16$0.15
Blended Fair Value$0.15
Current Price$0.05
Upside182.31%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.73%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--27.79%34.00%14.61%-1.34%2.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.66%3.43%2.88%2.12%3.69%6.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.601.000.60
Cash Retained (M)6.166.166.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.60-1.00-0.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.565.165.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)734.68734.68734.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.010.010.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.19%9.19%9.19%
Growth Rate1.54%2.54%3.54%
Fair Value$0.12$0.15$0.18
Upside / Downside119.71%179.17%250.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8.018.228.428.648.869.089.36
Payout Ratio23.06%36.45%49.84%63.22%76.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.852.994.205.466.798.178.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.19%9.19%9.19%
Growth Rate1.54%2.54%3.54%
Year 1 PV (M)2.722.742.77
Year 2 PV (M)3.453.523.59
Year 3 PV (M)4.074.204.32
Year 4 PV (M)4.594.774.96
Year 5 PV (M)5.015.275.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)85.7290.0294.50
Equity Value (M)105.56110.52115.67
Shares Outstanding (M)734.68734.68734.68
Fair Value$0.14$0.15$0.16
Upside / Downside172.65%185.46%198.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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