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Definitive Analysis

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J. Smart & Co. (Contractors) PLC (SMJ.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.87 - $3.01$2.39
Multi-Stage$2.23 - $2.44$2.34
Blended Fair Value$2.36
Current Price$1.25
Upside88.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.72%4.02%0.030.030.030.030.030.020.020.040.020.02
YoY Growth---1.02%-2.59%-2.74%-0.96%71.19%-2.21%-41.55%64.42%0.00%-0.70%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.55%2.00%2.12%2.76%1.78%1.79%3.12%1.93%2.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.360.850.51
Cash Retained (M)4.244.244.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.36-0.85-0.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.893.403.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.4239.4239.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate9.53%9.53%9.53%
Growth Rate2.02%3.02%4.02%
Fair Value$1.87$2.39$3.01
Upside / Downside49.75%90.82%140.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6.796.997.207.427.647.878.11
Payout Ratio37.45%47.96%58.47%68.98%79.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.543.354.215.126.087.097.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.53%9.53%9.53%
Growth Rate2.02%3.02%4.02%
Year 1 PV (M)3.033.063.09
Year 2 PV (M)3.443.513.58
Year 3 PV (M)3.783.894.01
Year 4 PV (M)4.064.224.39
Year 5 PV (M)4.284.504.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)69.4472.9176.52
Equity Value (M)88.0492.1096.31
Shares Outstanding (M)39.4239.4239.42
Fair Value$2.23$2.34$2.44
Upside / Downside78.66%86.90%95.44%

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