Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Aktieselskabet Schouw & Co. (SCHO.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,935.10 - $7,830.34$7,338.18
Multi-Stage$1,214.00 - $1,328.73$1,270.31
Blended Fair Value$4,304.24
Current Price$604.00
Upside612.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.25%10.81%17.3016.3516.2215.0914.5713.4013.6212.3810.318.19
YoY Growth--5.84%0.80%7.47%3.57%8.74%-1.59%9.94%20.15%25.90%32.12%
Dividend Yield--2.82%3.03%2.82%2.59%2.19%2.97%2.74%2.07%1.61%2.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)908.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)386.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)522.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)181.60113.5068.10
Cash Retained (M)522.00522.00522.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-181.60-113.50-68.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)340.40408.50453.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.0623.0623.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share14.7617.7119.68
LTM Dividend per Share16.7416.7416.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share14.7617.7119.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend31.5034.4536.42
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,935.10$7,338.18$7,830.34
Upside / Downside551.51%1,114.93%1,196.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)908.00967.021,029.881,096.821,168.111,244.041,281.36
Payout Ratio42.51%52.01%61.51%71.00%80.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)386.00502.94633.44778.79940.361,119.631,185.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)468.49472.93477.37
Year 2 PV (M)549.65560.11570.68
Year 3 PV (M)629.48647.55665.97
Year 4 PV (M)708.02735.25763.25
Year 5 PV (M)785.26823.19862.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,855.6026,056.1427,302.62
Equity Value (M)27,996.5029,295.1730,642.46
Shares Outstanding (M)23.0623.0623.06
Fair Value$1,214.00$1,270.31$1,328.73
Upside / Downside100.99%110.32%119.99%

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