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S 11 Group Public Company Limited (S11.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.90 - $7.40$6.08
Multi-Stage$9.74 - $10.73$10.23
Blended Fair Value$8.15
Current Price$2.96
Upside175.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.100.260.250.380.390.330.340.380.17
YoY Growth---100.00%-61.54%4.00%-34.21%-2.56%18.18%-2.94%-10.53%123.64%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%3.55%5.19%4.07%5.08%8.48%4.50%4.51%4.36%1.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)345.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)61.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)284.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69.1443.2125.93
Cash Retained (M)284.40284.40284.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-69.14-43.21-25.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)215.26241.19258.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)607.73607.73607.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.400.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.400.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.500.53
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.90$6.08$7.40
Upside / Downside65.41%105.31%150.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)345.70342.25338.82335.43332.08328.76338.62
Payout Ratio17.73%32.19%46.64%61.09%75.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)61.30110.15158.02204.93250.87295.88313.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)101.80102.84103.88
Year 2 PV (M)134.98137.74140.54
Year 3 PV (M)161.77166.77171.88
Year 4 PV (M)183.03190.62198.44
Year 5 PV (M)199.51209.89220.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,140.455,408.135,686.84
Equity Value (M)5,921.546,216.006,522.29
Shares Outstanding (M)607.73607.73607.73
Fair Value$9.74$10.23$10.73
Upside / Downside229.18%245.55%262.58%

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