Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Ryanair Holdings plc (RY4C.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$110.99 - $432.45$310.07
Multi-Stage$52.48 - $57.44$54.91
Blended Fair Value$182.49
Current Price$24.02
Upside659.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.400.180.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.37
YoY Growth--119.40%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.68%1.13%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,359.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)437.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,921.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)471.84294.90176.94
Cash Retained (M)1,921.501,921.501,921.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-471.84-294.90-176.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,449.661,626.601,744.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,084.951,084.951,084.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.341.501.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.341.501.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.741.902.01
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$110.99$310.07$432.45
Upside / Downside362.08%1,190.88%1,700.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,359.202,512.552,675.862,849.793,035.033,232.313,329.28
Payout Ratio18.55%32.84%47.13%61.42%75.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)437.70825.181,261.181,750.382,297.842,909.083,079.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)762.86770.09777.32
Year 2 PV (M)1,077.881,098.411,119.13
Year 3 PV (M)1,383.001,422.701,463.15
Year 4 PV (M)1,678.441,742.991,809.38
Year 5 PV (M)1,964.432,059.322,157.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)50,067.7752,486.0654,996.90
Equity Value (M)56,934.3859,579.5662,323.72
Shares Outstanding (M)1,084.951,084.951,084.95
Fair Value$52.48$54.91$57.44
Upside / Downside118.47%128.62%139.15%

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