Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Rotshtein Realestate Ltd (ROTS.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Residential ConstructionSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$738.62 - $2,868.47$2,073.81
Multi-Stage$345.87 - $378.77$362.02
Blended Fair Value$1,217.91
Current Price$92.34
Upside1,218.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.95%9.60%1.171.401.640.470.470.290.470.230.180.00
YoY Growth---16.67%-14.29%250.00%0.00%60.00%-37.50%100.00%33.33%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.79%3.79%6.63%1.04%1.62%1.63%3.93%1.58%1.03%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)246.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)224.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.3530.8418.51
Cash Retained (M)224.71224.71224.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.35-30.84-18.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)175.36193.86206.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.1117.1117.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.2511.3312.05
LTM Dividend per Share1.291.291.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.2511.3312.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.5412.6213.34
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$738.62$2,073.81$2,868.47
Upside / Downside699.89%2,145.84%3,006.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)246.75262.79279.87298.06317.43338.07348.21
Payout Ratio8.93%25.15%41.36%57.57%73.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.0466.08115.75171.60234.22304.26322.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)61.0961.6762.25
Year 2 PV (M)98.94100.82102.73
Year 3 PV (M)135.61139.50143.47
Year 4 PV (M)171.12177.70184.47
Year 5 PV (M)205.51215.44225.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,244.695,498.015,761.03
Equity Value (M)5,916.976,193.156,479.69
Shares Outstanding (M)17.1117.1117.11
Fair Value$345.87$362.02$378.77
Upside / Downside274.56%292.05%310.19%

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