Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Quantum Foods Holdings Ltd (QFH.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.83 - $16.36$13.44
Multi-Stage$13.10 - $14.37$13.72
Blended Fair Value$13.58
Current Price$6.52
Upside108.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-85.92%0.00%0.000.000.080.100.300.800.590.070.120.00
YoY Growth---83.93%-99.65%-17.69%-67.58%-63.21%35.78%766.37%-40.60%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.01%1.63%1.78%4.78%22.03%14.10%2.28%4.41%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)247.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)247.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.4130.8818.53
Cash Retained (M)247.03247.03247.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.41-30.88-18.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)197.62216.15228.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)202.20202.20202.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.981.071.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.981.071.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.981.071.13
WACC / Discount Rate10.08%10.08%10.08%
Growth Rate0.96%1.96%2.96%
Fair Value$10.83$13.44$16.36
Upside / Downside66.09%106.07%150.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)247.05251.90256.84261.88267.02272.26280.43
Payout Ratio0.01%18.00%36.00%54.00%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.0245.3592.47141.42192.26245.03259.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.08%10.08%10.08%
Growth Rate0.96%1.96%2.96%
Year 1 PV (M)40.8041.2041.61
Year 2 PV (M)74.8376.3277.82
Year 3 PV (M)102.95106.03109.19
Year 4 PV (M)125.89130.96136.17
Year 5 PV (M)144.34151.63159.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,159.552,268.642,382.09
Equity Value (M)2,648.352,774.772,906.08
Shares Outstanding (M)202.20202.20202.20
Fair Value$13.10$13.72$14.37
Upside / Downside100.88%110.47%120.43%

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