Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Quebecor Inc. (QBR-A.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$95.88 - $325.82$157.23
Multi-Stage$90.86 - $99.57$95.13
Blended Fair Value$126.18
Current Price$43.82
Upside187.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.66%37.72%1.301.191.221.150.870.430.200.110.090.07
YoY Growth--8.95%-1.77%5.42%33.07%100.50%116.63%83.00%21.63%30.00%30.08%
Dividend Yield--3.58%4.02%3.64%3.87%2.57%1.39%0.61%0.44%0.44%0.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)822.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)317.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)504.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)164.44102.7861.67
Cash Retained (M)504.60504.60504.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-164.44-102.78-61.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)340.16401.83442.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)232.13232.13232.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.471.731.91
LTM Dividend per Share1.371.371.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.471.731.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.833.103.28
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate3.60%4.60%5.60%
Fair Value$95.88$157.23$325.82
Upside / Downside118.80%258.80%643.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)822.20860.02899.58940.96984.241,029.511,060.39
Payout Ratio38.63%48.90%59.18%69.45%79.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)317.60420.57532.34653.51784.69926.56980.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate3.60%4.60%5.60%
Year 1 PV (M)390.53394.30398.07
Year 2 PV (M)459.02467.92476.91
Year 3 PV (M)523.25538.55554.14
Year 4 PV (M)583.41606.27629.79
Year 5 PV (M)639.69671.17703.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,494.1719,404.1520,349.60
Equity Value (M)21,090.0822,082.3623,112.38
Shares Outstanding (M)232.13232.13232.13
Fair Value$90.86$95.13$99.57
Upside / Downside107.34%117.10%127.22%

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