DDM Analysis: PEAB3.SA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$6.34 - $8.36	$7.40
Multi-Stage	$19.14 - $21.19	$20.14
Blended Fair Value	$13.77
Current Price	$37.30
Upside	-63.08%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-20.01%	-2.77%	1.26	0.22	1.26	8.09	22.97	3.84	2.23	2.05	0.87	1.80
YoY Growth	-	-	474.45%	-82.59%	-84.47%	-64.76%	498.37%	71.83%	8.92%	136.26%	-51.85%	8.29%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.76%	0.59%	4.18%	12.45%	37.68%	6.40%	6.36%	5.13%	2.78%	6.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	32.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	25.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6.98

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	6.55	4.09	2.46
Cash Retained (M)	6.98	6.98	6.98
(-) Cash Required (M)	-6.55	-4.09	-2.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.43	2.89	4.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	18.69	18.69	18.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.15	0.24
LTM Dividend per Share	1.38	1.38	1.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.15	0.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.40	1.53	1.62
WACC / Discount Rate	7.13%	7.13%	7.13%
Growth Rate	-12.26%	-11.26%	-10.26%
Fair Value	$6.34	$7.40	$8.36
Upside / Downside	-82.99%	-80.16%	-77.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	32.75	29.06	25.79	22.88	20.31	18.02	18.56
Payout Ratio	78.68%	80.95%	83.21%	85.47%	87.74%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	25.77	23.52	21.46	19.56	17.82	16.22	17.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.13%	7.13%	7.13%
Growth Rate	-12.26%	-11.26%	-10.26%
Year 1 PV (M)	21.71	21.96	22.21
Year 2 PV (M)	18.28	18.70	19.12
Year 3 PV (M)	15.38	15.91	16.45
Year 4 PV (M)	12.93	13.53	14.15
Year 5 PV (M)	10.86	11.50	12.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)	278.62	294.86	311.86
Equity Value (M)	357.78	376.45	395.95
Shares Outstanding (M)	18.69	18.69	18.69
Fair Value	$19.14	$20.14	$21.19
Upside / Downside	-48.68%	-46.00%	-43.20%

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Companhia de Participações Aliança da Bahia (PEAB3.SA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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