Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Oxford Instruments plc (OXIG.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.83 - $28.15$21.03
Multi-Stage$16.29 - $17.79$17.02
Blended Fair Value$19.02
Current Price$17.20
Upside10.61%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.09%5.48%0.210.190.180.210.000.140.130.130.130.13
YoY Growth--6.14%7.55%-13.82%0.00%-100.00%7.89%2.70%0.00%-2.63%7.04%
Dividend Yield--1.20%0.95%0.72%1.00%0.00%1.09%1.35%1.71%1.54%1.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.288.304.98
Cash Retained (M)33.0033.0033.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.28-8.30-4.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.7224.7028.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)58.5558.5558.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.340.420.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.570.570.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.340.420.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.910.991.05
WACC / Discount Rate9.41%9.41%9.41%
Growth Rate3.48%4.48%5.48%
Fair Value$15.83$21.03$28.15
Upside / Downside-7.97%22.24%63.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66.4069.3772.4875.7279.1182.6585.13
Payout Ratio50.30%58.24%66.18%74.12%82.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.4040.4047.9756.1264.9274.3978.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.41%9.41%9.41%
Growth Rate3.48%4.48%5.48%
Year 1 PV (M)36.5836.9337.28
Year 2 PV (M)39.3140.0740.84
Year 3 PV (M)41.6442.8644.10
Year 4 PV (M)43.6045.3147.07
Year 5 PV (M)45.2347.4549.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)747.30784.11822.37
Equity Value (M)953.65996.741,041.43
Shares Outstanding (M)58.5558.5558.55
Fair Value$16.29$17.02$17.79
Upside / Downside-5.30%-1.03%3.41%

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