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Definitive Analysis

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Nordfyns Bank A/S (NRDF.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$774.86 - $2,801.77$2,456.15
Multi-Stage$371.40 - $405.42$388.10
Blended Fair Value$1,422.13
Current Price$605.00
Upside135.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%23.92%17.340.000.000.000.000.003.053.053.053.05
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-0.02%0.02%-0.02%50.00%
Dividend Yield--5.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.50%1.61%1.73%2.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.562.851.71
Cash Retained (M)1.311.311.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.56-2.85-1.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.25-1.54-0.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.621.621.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share-2.01-0.95-0.25
LTM Dividend per Share13.2813.2813.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share-2.01-0.95-0.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.2712.3313.03
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$774.86$2,456.15$2,801.77
Upside / Downside28.08%305.98%363.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.8024.2825.8527.5429.3331.2332.17
Payout Ratio94.24%93.40%92.55%91.70%90.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.4822.6723.9325.2526.6428.1129.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)20.9821.1821.38
Year 2 PV (M)20.5020.8921.28
Year 3 PV (M)20.0220.5921.18
Year 4 PV (M)19.5520.3021.07
Year 5 PV (M)19.0920.0120.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)500.81525.00550.11
Equity Value (M)600.94627.96655.99
Shares Outstanding (M)1.621.621.62
Fair Value$371.40$388.10$405.42
Upside / Downside-38.61%-35.85%-32.99%

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