Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PJSC Novorossiysk Commercial Sea Port (NMTP.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44.58 - $98.66$64.24
Multi-Stage$31.32 - $34.25$32.76
Blended Fair Value$48.50
Current Price$9.35
Upside418.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202020192018201720162015201420132012
DPS145.03%99.08%0.781.370.010.010.010.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---42.99%11,477.69%50.40%-40.83%50.39%104.85%337.85%30.86%-1.59%-4.15%
Dividend Yield--8.32%17.93%0.14%0.11%0.17%0.15%0.12%0.07%0.03%0.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41,757.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)41,756.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,351.475,219.673,131.80
Cash Retained (M)41,756.5741,756.5741,756.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,351.47-5,219.67-3,131.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)33,405.1036,536.9038,624.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18,482.9318,482.9318,482.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.811.982.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.811.982.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.811.982.09
WACC / Discount Rate9.78%9.78%9.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$44.58$64.24$98.66
Upside / Downside376.81%587.09%955.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41,757.3644,471.5947,362.2450,440.7953,719.4457,211.2058,927.54
Payout Ratio0.00%18.00%36.00%54.00%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.798,005.5617,050.9427,238.4038,678.2051,490.0854,507.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.78%9.78%9.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)7,224.087,292.557,361.03
Year 2 PV (M)13,884.5114,148.9714,415.92
Year 3 PV (M)20,014.9620,589.5221,174.97
Year 4 PV (M)25,646.6326,632.9327,647.40
Year 5 PV (M)30,809.0832,297.1733,842.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)481,249.13504,493.64528,627.77
Equity Value (M)578,828.38605,454.77633,069.30
Shares Outstanding (M)18,482.9318,482.9318,482.93
Fair Value$31.32$32.76$34.25
Upside / Downside234.94%250.35%266.33%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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