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Definitive Analysis

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Nictus Limited (NCS.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.26 - $7.98$6.53
Multi-Stage$6.59 - $7.22$6.90
Blended Fair Value$6.71
Current Price$1.51
Upside344.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.86%0.00%0.060.050.030.050.030.040.040.040.040.04
YoY Growth--20.02%66.69%-40.01%66.69%-20.01%0.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.97%7.69%3.80%6.02%3.06%4.21%9.07%8.27%7.15%5.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.243.902.34
Cash Retained (M)25.3125.3125.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.24-3.90-2.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.0721.4122.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)53.4453.4453.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.360.400.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.360.400.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.510.54
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate0.97%1.97%2.97%
Fair Value$5.26$6.53$7.98
Upside / Downside248.09%332.74%428.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.1931.8032.4333.0633.7134.3835.41
Payout Ratio18.85%33.08%47.31%61.54%75.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.8810.5215.3420.3525.5530.9432.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate0.97%1.97%2.97%
Year 1 PV (M)9.489.579.66
Year 2 PV (M)12.4512.6912.94
Year 3 PV (M)14.8715.3215.77
Year 4 PV (M)16.8117.4918.19
Year 5 PV (M)18.3419.2720.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)280.04294.18308.89
Equity Value (M)351.98368.52385.69
Shares Outstanding (M)53.4453.4453.44
Fair Value$6.59$6.90$7.22
Upside / Downside336.16%356.65%377.93%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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