Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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MT Højgaard Holding A/S (MTHH.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$660.58 - $1,530.38$967.06
Multi-Stage$842.00 - $924.56$882.50
Blended Fair Value$924.78
Current Price$453.50
Upside103.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)254.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)204.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.8631.7919.07
Cash Retained (M)204.10204.10204.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.86-31.79-19.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)153.24172.31185.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.747.747.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share19.8022.2623.90
LTM Dividend per Share6.496.496.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share19.8022.2623.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend26.2828.7530.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate2.35%3.35%4.35%
Fair Value$660.58$967.06$1,530.38
Upside / Downside45.66%113.24%237.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)254.30262.81271.61280.71290.10299.82308.81
Payout Ratio19.74%33.79%47.84%61.90%75.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.2088.81129.95173.75220.33269.83285.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate2.35%3.35%4.35%
Year 1 PV (M)82.6583.4584.26
Year 2 PV (M)112.54114.75116.98
Year 3 PV (M)140.02144.16148.39
Year 4 PV (M)165.23171.78178.53
Year 5 PV (M)188.31197.69207.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,828.886,119.256,421.09
Equity Value (M)6,517.616,831.087,156.68
Shares Outstanding (M)7.747.747.74
Fair Value$842.00$882.50$924.56
Upside / Downside85.67%94.60%103.87%

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