Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Metro Inc. (MRU.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$469.73 - $915.24$857.72
Multi-Stage$141.59 - $155.03$148.19
Blended Fair Value$502.95
Current Price$106.97
Upside370.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.17%11.34%1.331.241.161.081.000.900.740.650.570.50
YoY Growth--7.13%6.63%7.41%8.79%10.96%20.69%14.84%12.90%13.58%11.23%
Dividend Yield--1.47%1.81%1.55%1.61%1.75%1.67%1.57%1.60%1.43%1.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,020.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)311.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)709.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)204.08127.5576.53
Cash Retained (M)709.00709.00709.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-204.08-127.55-76.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)504.92581.45632.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)221.73221.73221.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.282.622.85
LTM Dividend per Share1.401.401.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.282.622.85
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.684.034.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$469.73$857.72$915.24
Upside / Downside339.12%701.83%755.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,020.401,086.731,157.361,232.591,312.711,398.041,439.98
Payout Ratio30.52%42.41%54.31%66.21%78.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)311.40460.92628.57816.061,025.271,258.231,331.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)429.43433.50437.57
Year 2 PV (M)545.60555.99566.48
Year 3 PV (M)659.94678.88698.18
Year 4 PV (M)772.46802.17832.73
Year 5 PV (M)883.20925.86970.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,103.2429,460.6330,869.98
Equity Value (M)31,393.8632,857.0334,375.09
Shares Outstanding (M)221.73221.73221.73
Fair Value$141.59$148.19$155.03
Upside / Downside32.36%38.53%44.93%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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