Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Lewis Group Limited (LEW.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$497.56 - $1,135.79$724.70
Multi-Stage$372.90 - $406.38$389.34
Blended Fair Value$557.02
Current Price$72.77
Upside665.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.57%-3.85%5.744.154.474.712.723.643.113.176.618.50
YoY Growth--38.36%-7.13%-5.04%72.93%-25.15%16.90%-2.04%-51.95%-22.24%-0.07%
Dividend Yield--8.10%9.45%10.89%10.01%8.86%20.40%9.93%7.52%15.92%18.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,316.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)783.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)532.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)263.30164.5698.74
Cash Retained (M)532.60532.60532.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-263.30-164.56-98.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)269.30368.04433.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)54.0354.0354.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.986.818.03
LTM Dividend per Share14.5114.5114.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.986.818.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.4921.3222.54
WACC / Discount Rate9.63%9.63%9.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$497.56$724.70$1,135.79
Upside / Downside583.75%895.87%1,460.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,316.501,402.071,493.211,590.271,693.631,803.721,857.83
Payout Ratio59.54%65.64%71.73%77.82%83.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)783.90920.261,071.031,237.511,421.111,623.351,718.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.63%9.63%9.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)831.51839.39847.28
Year 2 PV (M)874.42891.08907.89
Year 3 PV (M)912.91939.12965.82
Year 4 PV (M)947.26983.691,021.16
Year 5 PV (M)977.721,024.941,073.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,603.3416,356.9917,139.48
Equity Value (M)20,147.1621,035.2021,955.59
Shares Outstanding (M)54.0354.0354.03
Fair Value$372.90$389.34$406.38
Upside / Downside412.44%435.03%458.44%

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