Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Lahav LR Real Estate Ltd (LAHAV.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.50 - $6.70$5.55
Multi-Stage$8.50 - $9.35$8.91
Blended Fair Value$7.23
Current Price$5.19
Upside39.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.140.150.000.080.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---4.99%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.14%4.13%0.00%1.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)144.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)49.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.9918.1210.87
Cash Retained (M)94.9694.9694.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.99-18.12-10.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)65.9776.8484.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)262.18262.18262.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.290.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.290.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.480.51
WACC / Discount Rate7.63%7.63%7.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.50$5.55$6.70
Upside / Downside-13.30%6.89%29.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)144.95143.50142.06140.64139.24137.84141.98
Payout Ratio34.49%45.59%56.69%67.80%78.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)49.9965.4280.5495.35109.85124.06131.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.63%7.63%7.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)60.1760.7861.40
Year 2 PV (M)68.1369.5270.93
Year 3 PV (M)74.1876.4778.81
Year 4 PV (M)78.6081.8585.21
Year 5 PV (M)81.6385.8890.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,865.491,962.632,063.78
Equity Value (M)2,228.192,337.152,450.44
Shares Outstanding (M)262.18262.18262.18
Fair Value$8.50$8.91$9.35
Upside / Downside63.75%71.76%80.09%

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