Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kardan Israel Ltd (KRDI.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.53 - $5.50$4.44
Multi-Stage$8.04 - $8.87$8.44
Blended Fair Value$6.44
Current Price$4.36
Upside47.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.030.030.030.000.600.000.000.000.15
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.46%1.60%0.97%0.00%34.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)58.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)56.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.617.254.35
Cash Retained (M)56.6456.6456.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.61-7.25-4.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.0449.3952.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)156.11156.11156.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.320.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.320.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.330.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.25%6.25%6.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.53$4.44$5.50
Upside / Downside-18.98%1.86%26.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)58.0457.4656.8856.3155.7555.1956.85
Payout Ratio2.40%19.92%37.44%54.96%72.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.3911.4521.3030.9540.4149.6752.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.25%6.25%6.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)10.6610.7710.88
Year 2 PV (M)18.4918.8619.25
Year 3 PV (M)25.0325.8026.59
Year 4 PV (M)30.4431.7033.01
Year 5 PV (M)34.8736.6838.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,135.111,194.221,255.77
Equity Value (M)1,254.601,318.051,384.06
Shares Outstanding (M)156.11156.11156.11
Fair Value$8.04$8.44$8.87
Upside / Downside84.33%93.65%103.35%

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