Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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KMS Medisurgi Limited (KMSMEDI.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - SpecialtiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.94 - $36.68$26.84
Multi-Stage$17.64 - $19.31$18.46
Blended Fair Value$22.65
Current Price$125.00
Upside-81.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-3.67%18.59%0.050.050.050.000.050.060.050.120.050.11
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-17.05%20.56%-59.26%145.45%-54.17%1,100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.04%0.04%0.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.880.550.33
Cash Retained (M)4.234.234.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.88-0.55-0.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.353.683.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.303.303.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.021.121.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.021.121.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.071.171.23
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate4.15%5.15%6.15%
Fair Value$19.94$26.84$36.68
Upside / Downside-84.05%-78.53%-70.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.404.624.865.115.385.655.82
Payout Ratio3.75%21.00%38.25%55.50%72.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.170.971.862.843.915.095.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate4.15%5.15%6.15%
Year 1 PV (M)0.880.890.89
Year 2 PV (M)1.521.551.57
Year 3 PV (M)2.092.152.21
Year 4 PV (M)2.602.702.80
Year 5 PV (M)3.053.203.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)48.1050.4552.90
Equity Value (M)58.2360.9363.74
Shares Outstanding (M)3.303.303.30
Fair Value$17.64$18.46$19.31
Upside / Downside-85.88%-85.23%-84.55%

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