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Definitive Analysis

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Kamada Ltd. (KMDA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.32 - $5.12$4.15
Multi-Stage$7.48 - $8.23$7.85
Blended Fair Value$6.00
Current Price$7.75
Upside-22.57%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.092.561.53
Cash Retained (M)8.918.918.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.09-2.56-1.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.826.357.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)56.6556.6556.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.320.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-1.99%-0.99%0.01%
Fair Value$3.32$4.15$5.12
Upside / Downside-57.18%-46.40%-34.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20.4420.2420.0419.8419.6419.4520.03
Payout Ratio56.42%63.13%69.85%76.57%83.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.5312.7814.0015.1916.3617.5018.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-1.99%-0.99%0.01%
Year 1 PV (M)11.8712.0012.12
Year 2 PV (M)12.0912.3312.58
Year 3 PV (M)12.1912.5612.95
Year 4 PV (M)12.2012.7013.22
Year 5 PV (M)12.1212.7613.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)363.32382.24401.93
Equity Value (M)423.79444.59466.22
Shares Outstanding (M)56.6556.6556.65
Fair Value$7.48$7.85$8.23
Upside / Downside-3.48%1.26%6.19%

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