Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kitwave Group plc (KITW.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food DistributionSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.86 - $5.84$4.79
Multi-Stage$7.95 - $8.75$8.34
Blended Fair Value$6.57
Current Price$2.97
Upside121.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.110.100.070.020.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--7.78%50.00%211.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.32%3.92%3.92%1.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.704.192.51
Cash Retained (M)16.7116.7116.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.70-4.19-2.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.0112.5314.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)74.9474.9474.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.170.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.170.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.390.41
WACC / Discount Rate7.08%7.08%7.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.86$4.79$5.84
Upside / Downside29.92%61.32%96.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33.4933.1632.8332.5032.1731.8532.81
Payout Ratio50.10%58.08%66.06%74.04%82.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.7819.2621.6824.0626.3928.6730.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.08%7.08%7.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)17.8017.9818.17
Year 2 PV (M)18.5318.9119.30
Year 3 PV (M)19.0119.6020.20
Year 4 PV (M)19.2720.0720.89
Year 5 PV (M)19.3520.3621.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)502.14528.29555.51
Equity Value (M)596.11625.21655.47
Shares Outstanding (M)74.9474.9474.94
Fair Value$7.95$8.34$8.75
Upside / Downside167.82%180.90%194.50%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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