DDM Analysis: KGH.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$12.96 - $38.91	$36.47
Multi-Stage	$5.32 - $5.82	$5.57
Blended Fair Value	$21.02
Current Price	$1.35
Upside	1,456.73%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	17.33%	0.00%	0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	10.72%	15.16%	148.26%	0.00%	-100.00%	305.31%	0.00%	-100.00%	6.80%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.25%	3.05%	4.06%	1.19%	0.00%	0.55%	0.17%	0.00%	0.64%	0.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	17.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	7.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)	10.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3.48	2.18	1.31
Cash Retained (M)	10.00	10.00	10.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3.48	-2.18	-1.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)	6.51	7.82	8.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	89.05	89.05	89.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.09	0.10
LTM Dividend per Share	0.08	0.08	0.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.09	0.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.16	0.17	0.18
WACC / Discount Rate	6.77%	6.77%	6.77%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$12.96	$36.47	$38.91
Upside / Downside	860.28%	2,601.17%	2,782.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	17.42	18.56	19.76	21.05	22.41	23.87	24.59
Payout Ratio	42.63%	52.11%	61.58%	71.05%	80.53%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	7.43	9.67	12.17	14.95	18.05	21.48	22.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.77%	6.77%	6.77%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	8.97	9.06	9.14
Year 2 PV (M)	10.47	10.67	10.88
Year 3 PV (M)	11.94	12.28	12.63
Year 4 PV (M)	13.37	13.89	14.42
Year 5 PV (M)	14.77	15.48	16.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)	414.25	434.25	455.03
Equity Value (M)	473.77	495.64	518.31
Shares Outstanding (M)	89.05	89.05	89.05
Fair Value	$5.32	$5.57	$5.82
Upside / Downside	294.10%	312.29%	331.16%

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Knights Group Holdings plc (KGH.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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