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Definitive Analysis

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Kuwait Finance House K.S.C.P. (KFH.KW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.22 - $7.06$2.26
Multi-Stage$0.74 - $0.80$0.77
Blended Fair Value$1.51
Current Price$0.80
Upside90.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.26%19.94%0.020.020.010.000.010.010.010.010.000.00
YoY Growth---12.10%241.82%32.00%-44.85%10.30%29.44%10.13%10.03%24.74%30.56%
Dividend Yield--2.39%2.95%0.91%0.59%1.63%1.98%1.51%1.79%1.82%1.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)611.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)363.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)248.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)122.3176.4445.87
Cash Retained (M)248.09248.09248.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-122.31-76.44-45.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)125.78171.65202.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17,230.3617,230.3617,230.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.030.030.03
WACC / Discount Rate7.96%7.96%7.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1.22$2.26$7.06
Upside / Downside52.88%184.03%787.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)611.56651.31693.65738.73786.75837.89863.03
Payout Ratio59.43%65.55%71.66%77.77%83.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)363.47426.91497.06574.54659.98754.10798.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.96%7.96%7.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)391.70395.42399.13
Year 2 PV (M)418.46426.43434.48
Year 3 PV (M)443.79456.53469.51
Year 4 PV (M)467.75485.74504.24
Year 5 PV (M)490.38514.07538.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,456.0510,961.0811,485.44
Equity Value (M)12,668.1313,239.2613,831.46
Shares Outstanding (M)17,230.3617,230.3617,230.36
Fair Value$0.74$0.77$0.80
Upside / Downside-7.52%-3.35%0.97%

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