DDM Analysis: KEMIRA.HE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$23.04 - $44.77	$31.68
Multi-Stage	$36.71 - $40.30	$38.47
Blended Fair Value	$35.07
Current Price	$19.67
Upside	78.31%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.29%	1.99%	0.67	0.61	0.57	0.61	0.55	0.52	0.56	0.56	0.56	0.56
YoY Growth	-	-	9.98%	7.09%	-6.72%	11.20%	5.93%	-7.33%	0.46%	0.46%	-0.12%	0.70%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.36%	3.50%	3.53%	5.17%	4.22%	5.90%	5.01%	5.38%	4.84%	5.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	224.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	112.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	112.60

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	44.92	28.08	16.85
Cash Retained (M)	112.60	112.60	112.60
(-) Cash Required (M)	-44.92	-28.08	-16.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)	67.68	84.53	95.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	155.30	155.30	155.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.44	0.54	0.62
LTM Dividend per Share	0.72	0.72	0.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.44	0.54	0.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.16	1.27	1.34
WACC / Discount Rate	6.36%	6.36%	6.36%
Growth Rate	1.27%	2.27%	3.27%
Fair Value	$23.04	$31.68	$44.77
Upside / Downside	17.13%	61.05%	127.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	224.60	229.70	234.92	240.25	245.71	251.29	258.83
Payout Ratio	49.87%	57.89%	65.92%	73.95%	81.97%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	112.00	132.98	154.86	177.66	201.42	226.16	239.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.36%	6.36%	6.36%
Growth Rate	1.27%	2.27%	3.27%
Year 1 PV (M)	123.81	125.03	126.26
Year 2 PV (M)	134.24	136.90	139.59
Year 3 PV (M)	143.38	147.67	152.04
Year 4 PV (M)	151.34	157.41	163.66
Year 5 PV (M)	158.22	166.19	174.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,989.56	5,240.82	5,502.10
Equity Value (M)	5,700.55	5,974.02	6,258.12
Shares Outstanding (M)	155.30	155.30	155.30
Fair Value	$36.71	$38.47	$40.30
Upside / Downside	86.61%	95.56%	104.87%

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Kemira Oyj (KEMIRA.HE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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