Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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PT Jaya Konstruksi Manggala Pratama Tbk (JKON.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$53.43 - $78.27$65.40
Multi-Stage$141.27 - $155.79$148.38
Blended Fair Value$106.89
Current Price$88.00
Upside21.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.39%0.12%4.253.000.000.032.403.605.806.404.504.30
YoY Growth--41.67%929,336.93%-98.83%-98.85%-33.30%-37.96%-9.37%42.22%4.65%2.38%
Dividend Yield--6.07%3.16%0.00%0.03%1.17%0.87%1.71%1.22%0.75%0.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)116,686.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)53,002.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)63,684.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23,337.3714,585.868,751.51
Cash Retained (M)63,684.1663,684.1663,684.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-23,337.37-14,585.86-8,751.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)40,346.7949,098.3154,932.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16,308.5216,308.5216,308.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.473.013.37
LTM Dividend per Share3.253.253.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.473.013.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.726.266.62
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-3.95%-2.95%-1.95%
Fair Value$53.43$65.40$78.27
Upside / Downside-39.29%-25.68%-11.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)116,686.85113,248.77109,911.98106,673.51103,530.46100,480.02103,494.42
Payout Ratio45.42%54.34%63.25%72.17%81.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)53,002.6961,537.5869,523.5276,985.4383,947.2690,432.0295,732.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-3.95%-2.95%-1.95%
Year 1 PV (M)57,269.9557,866.1858,462.41
Year 2 PV (M)60,214.9661,475.2762,748.63
Year 3 PV (M)62,053.6864,012.0366,011.15
Year 4 PV (M)62,972.6565,636.2868,383.53
Year 5 PV (M)63,132.6466,488.1169,984.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,998,203.342,104,406.812,215,078.76
Equity Value (M)2,303,847.222,419,884.682,540,669.23
Shares Outstanding (M)16,308.5216,308.5216,308.52
Fair Value$141.27$148.38$155.79
Upside / Downside60.53%68.62%77.03%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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