Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Intertek Group plc (ITRK.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$75.50 - $160.04$107.16
Multi-Stage$88.68 - $97.06$92.79
Blended Fair Value$99.98
Current Price$47.40
Upside110.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.78%10.56%1.271.091.051.051.051.010.790.660.540.50
YoY Growth--16.90%3.34%0.00%0.12%4.41%27.20%19.91%21.59%9.05%6.89%
Dividend Yield--2.69%2.56%2.61%1.87%1.86%1.72%1.65%1.29%1.56%1.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)670.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)430.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)240.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)134.1483.8450.30
Cash Retained (M)240.60240.60240.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-134.14-83.84-50.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)106.46156.76190.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)162.14162.14162.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.660.971.17
LTM Dividend per Share2.652.652.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.660.971.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.313.623.83
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate2.78%3.78%4.78%
Fair Value$75.50$107.16$160.04
Upside / Downside59.28%126.09%237.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)670.70696.04722.34749.63777.96807.35831.57
Payout Ratio64.13%69.30%74.48%79.65%84.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)430.10482.37537.97597.09659.90726.62769.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate2.78%3.78%4.78%
Year 1 PV (M)445.29449.62453.95
Year 2 PV (M)458.44467.41476.46
Year 3 PV (M)469.70483.55497.66
Year 4 PV (M)479.21498.14517.62
Year 5 PV (M)487.10511.26536.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,037.8412,634.9713,255.57
Equity Value (M)14,377.5815,044.9415,737.62
Shares Outstanding (M)162.14162.14162.14
Fair Value$88.68$92.79$97.06
Upside / Downside87.08%95.76%104.78%

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