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Definitive Analysis

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Ilyda S.A. (ILYDA.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.62 - $20.09$12.64
Multi-Stage$5.99 - $6.55$6.26
Blended Fair Value$9.45
Current Price$2.88
Upside228.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--4.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.74%1.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.120.700.42
Cash Retained (M)5.345.345.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.12-0.70-0.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.224.644.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.5713.5713.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.340.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.340.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.38
WACC / Discount Rate9.54%9.54%9.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$8.62$12.64$20.09
Upside / Downside199.16%338.85%597.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5.605.966.356.777.217.677.90
Payout Ratio4.60%21.68%38.76%55.84%72.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.261.292.463.785.256.917.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.54%9.54%9.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1.171.181.19
Year 2 PV (M)2.012.052.09
Year 3 PV (M)2.792.872.96
Year 4 PV (M)3.513.653.79
Year 5 PV (M)4.184.384.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)67.5770.8474.22
Equity Value (M)81.2484.9788.84
Shares Outstanding (M)13.5713.5713.57
Fair Value$5.99$6.26$6.55
Upside / Downside107.88%117.43%127.33%

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