Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Land Development of Nimrodi Group Ltd (ILDC.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$53.04 - $105.50$73.56
Multi-Stage$98.65 - $108.44$103.45
Blended Fair Value$88.51
Current Price$36.80
Upside140.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.001.221.121.120.730.490.000.880.981.17
YoY Growth---100.00%8.70%0.00%53.33%50.00%0.00%-100.00%-10.62%-16.09%182.35%
Dividend Yield--0.00%3.61%3.79%2.18%1.97%1.52%0.00%2.51%3.34%6.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)132.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)60.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)72.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26.4216.519.91
Cash Retained (M)72.0872.0872.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-26.42-16.51-9.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.6655.5762.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.8940.8940.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.121.361.52
LTM Dividend per Share1.471.471.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.121.361.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.582.832.99
WACC / Discount Rate5.74%5.74%5.74%
Growth Rate0.82%1.82%2.82%
Fair Value$53.04$73.56$105.50
Upside / Downside44.13%99.90%186.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)132.08134.49136.94139.44141.99144.58148.92
Payout Ratio45.43%54.34%63.26%72.17%81.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)60.0073.0886.63100.64115.13130.12137.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.74%5.74%5.74%
Growth Rate0.82%1.82%2.82%
Year 1 PV (M)68.4469.1269.80
Year 2 PV (M)75.9777.4879.01
Year 3 PV (M)82.6585.1387.66
Year 4 PV (M)88.5492.1195.78
Year 5 PV (M)93.7198.45103.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,624.983,808.353,999.07
Equity Value (M)4,034.294,230.644,434.70
Shares Outstanding (M)40.8940.8940.89
Fair Value$98.65$103.45$108.44
Upside / Downside168.08%181.12%194.68%

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