Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Id-Entity Sa (IDNTT.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: EntertainmentSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.21 - $3.39$2.76
Multi-Stage$4.66 - $5.13$4.89
Blended Fair Value$3.83
Current Price$2.58
Upside48.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.010.000.000.130.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--4.55%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.47%0.42%0.00%0.00%5.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.420.260.16
Cash Retained (M)1.851.851.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.42-0.26-0.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.431.591.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.518.518.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.190.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.190.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.220.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.21$2.76$3.39
Upside / Downside-14.26%7.02%31.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2.092.072.052.032.011.992.05
Payout Ratio11.47%27.17%42.88%58.59%74.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.240.560.881.191.491.791.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)0.520.530.53
Year 2 PV (M)0.760.770.79
Year 3 PV (M)0.950.981.01
Year 4 PV (M)1.111.151.20
Year 5 PV (M)1.231.291.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)35.0936.9238.82
Equity Value (M)39.6541.6443.71
Shares Outstanding (M)8.518.518.51
Fair Value$4.66$4.89$5.13
Upside / Downside80.52%89.57%98.98%

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