Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hilan Ltd. (HLAN.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$225.64 - $503.94$326.19
Multi-Stage$165.33 - $180.42$172.74
Blended Fair Value$249.47
Current Price$255.60
Upside-2.40%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.07%11.83%2.962.470.991.940.970.971.931.931.691.55
YoY Growth--20.00%150.22%-49.18%100.18%0.18%-50.00%0.00%14.29%9.37%60.00%
Dividend Yield--1.30%1.05%0.66%0.98%0.61%0.87%1.91%2.46%2.64%3.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)263.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)91.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)171.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)52.6132.8819.73
Cash Retained (M)171.28171.28171.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-52.61-32.88-19.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)118.67138.40151.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.2523.2523.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.105.956.52
LTM Dividend per Share3.953.953.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.105.956.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.059.9010.47
WACC / Discount Rate9.73%9.73%9.73%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$225.64$326.19$503.94
Upside / Downside-11.72%27.62%97.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)263.07280.17298.38317.77338.43360.43371.24
Payout Ratio34.89%45.91%56.93%67.96%78.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)91.79128.63169.88215.95267.29324.38343.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.73%9.73%9.73%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)116.12117.22118.32
Year 2 PV (M)138.44141.08143.74
Year 3 PV (M)158.87163.43168.08
Year 4 PV (M)177.52184.34191.36
Year 5 PV (M)194.49203.88213.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,057.833,205.533,358.88
Equity Value (M)3,843.284,015.494,194.02
Shares Outstanding (M)23.2523.2523.25
Fair Value$165.33$172.74$180.42
Upside / Downside-35.32%-32.42%-29.41%

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