Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

General Commercial & Industrial S.A. (GEBKA.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.21 - $4.78$3.16
Multi-Stage$3.04 - $3.34$3.19
Blended Fair Value$3.17
Current Price$1.64
Upside93.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS38.18%14.44%0.080.080.050.030.040.010.010.010.010.02
YoY Growth---0.01%36.86%56.88%-0.13%134.95%49.30%0.76%-0.43%-53.75%10.39%
Dividend Yield--5.48%4.15%4.53%3.02%4.25%1.84%1.58%2.02%2.93%6.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.570.360.22
Cash Retained (M)1.061.061.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.57-0.36-0.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.490.700.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.0624.0624.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate2.10%3.10%4.10%
Fair Value$2.21$3.16$4.78
Upside / Downside34.88%92.74%191.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2.872.963.053.143.243.343.44
Payout Ratio62.96%68.37%73.78%79.18%84.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.812.022.252.492.743.013.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate2.10%3.10%4.10%
Year 1 PV (M)1.881.901.92
Year 2 PV (M)1.951.982.02
Year 3 PV (M)2.002.062.12
Year 4 PV (M)2.052.132.22
Year 5 PV (M)2.092.202.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)63.2366.3969.67
Equity Value (M)73.2076.6680.25
Shares Outstanding (M)24.0624.0624.06
Fair Value$3.04$3.19$3.34
Upside / Downside85.51%94.28%103.39%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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