Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

First Majestic Silver Corp. (FMV.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.64 - $10.15$6.66
Multi-Stage$3.32 - $3.63$3.47
Blended Fair Value$5.07
Current Price$12.32
Upside-58.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.020.020.020.010.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---9.73%-14.55%74.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.25%0.30%0.29%0.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)76.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)67.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.269.545.72
Cash Retained (M)67.6167.6167.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.26-9.54-5.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)52.3558.0761.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)320.35320.35320.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.210.22
WACC / Discount Rate9.83%9.83%9.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4.64$6.66$10.15
Upside / Downside-62.35%-45.96%-17.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)76.3281.2886.5692.1998.18104.56107.70
Payout Ratio11.41%27.13%42.84%58.56%74.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.7122.0537.0953.9972.9394.1199.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.83%9.83%9.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)19.8920.0720.26
Year 2 PV (M)30.1730.7431.32
Year 3 PV (M)39.6140.7541.91
Year 4 PV (M)48.2650.1152.02
Year 5 PV (M)56.1658.8761.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)869.92911.94955.56
Equity Value (M)1,064.001,112.491,162.77
Shares Outstanding (M)320.35320.35320.35
Fair Value$3.32$3.47$3.63
Upside / Downside-73.04%-71.81%-70.54%

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