Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Boustead Singapore Limited (F9D.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.72 - $2.62$2.14
Multi-Stage$4.04 - $4.45$4.24
Blended Fair Value$3.19
Current Price$1.64
Upside94.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS4.57%-7.00%0.030.040.040.080.030.020.030.030.030.03
YoY Growth---28.05%-0.81%-53.18%181.74%32.87%-25.71%13.28%-1.04%5.90%-56.11%
Dividend Yield--2.57%3.82%4.72%8.64%2.98%3.77%3.88%3.45%3.09%3.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)95.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)81.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.0111.887.13
Cash Retained (M)81.3181.3181.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.01-11.88-7.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)62.3069.4374.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)485.68485.68485.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.140.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.140.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-2.54%-1.54%-0.54%
Fair Value$1.72$2.14$2.62
Upside / Downside4.72%30.40%59.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)95.0593.5892.1490.7289.3387.9590.59
Payout Ratio14.46%29.57%44.67%59.78%74.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.7427.6741.1654.2466.9079.1683.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-2.54%-1.54%-0.54%
Year 1 PV (M)25.7526.0226.28
Year 2 PV (M)35.6636.4037.14
Year 3 PV (M)43.7445.1046.49
Year 4 PV (M)50.2152.3154.46
Year 5 PV (M)55.3058.2061.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,750.451,842.121,937.58
Equity Value (M)1,961.122,060.142,163.17
Shares Outstanding (M)485.68485.68485.68
Fair Value$4.04$4.24$4.45
Upside / Downside146.21%158.65%171.58%

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