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Definitive Analysis

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Equals Group plc (EQLS.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.51 - $0.73$0.62
Multi-Stage$0.80 - $0.87$0.83
Blended Fair Value$0.73
Current Price$1.35
Upside-46.05%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.020.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--305.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.42%0.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)10.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.031.891.14
Cash Retained (M)10.4610.4610.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.03-1.89-1.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.438.579.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)196.67196.67196.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.73%9.73%9.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.51$0.62$0.73
Upside / Downside-61.86%-53.93%-45.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.1515.0014.8514.7014.5514.4114.84
Payout Ratio30.95%42.76%54.57%66.38%78.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.696.418.109.7611.3812.9713.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.73%9.73%9.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5.795.845.90
Year 2 PV (M)6.596.736.87
Year 3 PV (M)7.167.397.61
Year 4 PV (M)7.547.858.17
Year 5 PV (M)7.758.158.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)121.88128.22134.83
Equity Value (M)156.71164.19171.96
Shares Outstanding (M)196.67196.67196.67
Fair Value$0.80$0.83$0.87
Upside / Downside-40.98%-38.16%-35.23%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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